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Background of a Normative Theory
THE PRESENT STUDYAN INTRODUCTION
THE EXPERIMENTSA GENERAL DISCUSSION
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action American Stock Exchange ball numbered bankruptcy bets business conditions business executives Chapter Chile choices and reasons choose circle your choice closing price today closing price tomorrow conforming decision maker decision problems decision theory deck of playing Design of Experiments discussed dollars net profit Dow Jones average EH Agree example experiment sessions fair coin falls fM fM following wagers future studies gain nor lose give reasons given Gross National Product guaranteed one million indifference individual Interview Results Jacob Marschak Leo Breiman ments normative theory party in Zanzibar payoff matrix payoffs Pierce Industries playing cards prepared answers presented probabilities Product for l964 quadruples ranking reflected on choices risk/uncertainty second experiment Section shuffled deck small return Standard questioning stock price subject's choices Syntex Table theory of decision third experiment tion tomorrow of Pierce top card wagers you prefer ZPP party