Analysing and Aiding Decision Processes

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P. Humphreys, O. Svenson, A. Vári
Elsevier, Apr 1, 2000 - Psychology - 562 pages
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This book contains an edited selection of papers presented at the Eighth Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility and Decision Making, held in Budapest. Together they span a wide range of new developments in studies of decision making, the practice of decision analysis and the development of decision-aiding technology.

The volume is arranged in sections: Societal Decision Making; Organizational Decision Making; Aiding the Structuring of Small Scale Decision Problems, and Tracing Decision Processes.

The emphasis is on decision processes and structures and their applications, rather than formal modelling in isolation, thus reflecting current developments in research and practice which follow from the understanding of the nature and operation of decision theoretical models gained during the 1970's.

The fifth section, A Symposium on the Validity of Studies on Heuristics and Biases, is of a different nature. The papers take stock of the considerable volume of work investigation ``heuristics and biases'' in decision making over the past decade, and their implication for theory and practice.

 

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Contents

Preface
9
Acknowledgements
11
SOCIETAL DECISION MAKING
13
ORGANIZATIONAL DECISION MAKING
121
AIDING THE STRUCTURING OF SMALL SCALE DECISION PROBLEMS
197
TRACING DECISION PROCESSES
335
A SYMPOSIUM ON THE VALIDITY OF STUDIES ON HEURISTICS AND BIASES
503
Author Index
545
Subject lndex
553
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About the author (2000)

Humphreys is past president of the British Veterinary Zoological Society and a member of the Society for the Study of Asian Affairs.

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