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Forecasting Monthly LiveHog Prices Via Different Models
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Agricultural Economics analysis autocorrelation average basis risk bushel cash market cash price cash settlement Chicago Mercantile Exchange cocoa coefficients commodity markets composite forecasts contract expiration correcting for autocorrelation crop cross hedging delivery costs demand equations demand functions deviations distribution econometric elasticity error estimated expected farm level Feeder Cattle FOB market futures contracts futures market hedge ratios Income increase indicates Iowa State University Journal July live hog prices March t+1 maturity basis mean mean absolute error measure month monthly changes optimal options parameters percent period physical delivery portfolio price changes price equation price risk PRMSE production put options regression relationship relative retail price returns risk management sample seasonal simulation soybean oil statistics stochastic dominance sunflower market systematic risk Table Target MOTAD USDA values variance volatility wheat ем оо см см СП чО