Assessing Russia's Decline: Trends and Implications for the United States and the U.S. Air Force

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Rand Corporation, Nov 26, 2002 - Political Science - 152 pages
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What challenges does today's Russia pose for the United States and the U.S. Air Force? If certain economic, military, social, and political negative trends in Russia continue, they may create a new set of dangers that might prove more real, and therefore more frightening, than the far-off specter of Russian attack ever was. In a number of scenarios, the U.S. Air Force is certain to be called upon for transportation and perhaps for various military missions in a very demanding environment.
 

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Contents

STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF RUSSIAS DECLINE
1
Chapter Two REGIONAL AUTONOMY OR INCREASED CENTRALIZATION?
11
Chapter Three THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY
25
WHITHER DEMOCRACY AND FREEDOM?
41
ASSET OR LIABILITY?
49
Chapter Six THE RUSSIAN MILITARY
61
ROAD RAIL AND NUCLEAR POWER
85
Chapter Eight ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIOS
97
PLANNING FOR AND PREVENTING CONTINGENCIES
113
Chapter Ten THE AIR FORCE ROLE
123
SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY
127
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About the author (2002)

Olga Oliker (Ph.D. Candidate in Political Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology) is an associate political scientist at RAND. Her research focuses primarily on defense issues and the former Soviet Union, including military reform, military doctr

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