## Bayesian analysis in economic theory and time series analysis: the 1977 Savage Dissertation Award theses |

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### Contents

Acknowledgements | 3 |

Bidding decisions | 15 |

Equilibrium bidding behavior | 21 |

Copyright | |

9 other sections not shown

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### Common terms and phrases

alternative profit analysis approximate likelihood assumed assumption asymptotic auction Bayes estimate Bayesian bid price bidding behavior Chapter 9 compute conjugate prior conjugate utility considered constraint contract incentives contract parameters converges cost reduction cost uncertainty covariance function defined denoted density function determined equilibrium bidding strategy equilibrium strategy example expected contract profit expected procurement cost expected utility expected value fi(a firm firm's expected utility follows functions g g and h high quality commodity hyperplane incentive contracts increase independent integrals interior point ith firm's Lebesgue measure lemma low quality commodity matrix maximum Nash equilibrium optimal bid owners parameter point parameter space parameterization posterior 8.29 posterior density potential bidders price offer probability distribution probability of winning production cost proof random variable reduce reservation price risk aversion rival bids satisfied seller spectral density stochastic dominance stochastic process sufficiently large symmetric theorem 9.6 Toeplitz matrix utility function zero