## Bayesian Analysis, Probability and Decision |

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### Contents

Preface | 7 |

Review of Concepts and Theories of Probability | 42 |

Decision under Uncertainty | 85 |

Copyright | |

1 other sections not shown

### Common terms and phrases

A-ticket acceptance Act Event adjustment application assessment assume assumption axioms bability balls marked Bayes Bayesian analysis betting contract betting quotient black balls Carnap choice conditional probability consequences consider consistency deci decision problem decision theory defective defined degree of confirmation dollar elements equally probable example exists expected cost expected monetary value expected utility experience fair betting Finetti finite gamble given Hence Hrsg implies indifferent interpretation of probability intuitive kartoniert Koopman L.J. Savage lity logical long-run loss lottery tickets mathematical Mises n-fold almost uniform n-fold partition n-scales non-defective numerical probabilities observation obtains outcomes partial ordering payoff table perfect information personalistic possible posterior probabilities Postulate prefer prior probabilities prob probability in terms probability measure probability theory proposition R.A. Fisher rejection relative frequency result sample Savage Savage's Seiten sequence setup sion situation statistical inference statistician subjective probability subsets Suppose theorem Theory of Probability tion uncertainty uniform partitions winning