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Weighing the Evidence
Making a Choice
Gambling in a Lottery
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alternative attempted suicides behaviour believed birds blood alcohol Bonds Britain British Catoptromancy century chance of winning chapter choice dead decision divination divinatory dream driver effects of alcohol evidence example experience experimental fact favour football football pools G. L. S. Shackle gambler gambler's fallacy gambling goal gods Greek guilt Hatfield College hazard hepatoscopy husband individual interpretation John Cohen larger number less London lovers luck Manchester Grammar School Manchester United method mg per cent motorist non-winning tickets number of non-winning number of witnesses omen oracle ordeal ornithomancy outcome Ovid pedestrian person play players possible prefer to draw Premium Bonds Psychol psychological probability question relation rhabdomancy risk-taking Road Accidents Romans score seems situations skill smaller lottery smaller number subjective success suicide pacts task teams things total number traffic uncertainty vehicle West Bromwich West Bromwich Albion wife winning a prize winning tickets wish woman women