Big Oil Playground, Russian Bear Preserve Or European Periphery?: The Russian Barents Sea Region Towards 2015

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Eburon Uitgeverij B.V., 2004 - Business & Economics - 212 pages
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In the far northwestern corner of Russia lies the Barents Sea: a rich region of natural resources that has yet to be fully exploited. Future actions taken in Barents will create major environmental, political, and economic ripples around the globe. Big Oil Playground, Russian Bear Preserve or European Periphery? explores three plausible and thought-provoking scenarios for the region's future over the next two decades.

The volume considers whether the international energy industry will transform Barents into a "big oil playground," if environmental protection rules will make it a "Russian bear preserve," or if integration into world trade will put it on the "European periphery." The result is a valuable resource for understanding the changing dynamics and challenges in modern public planning and a globalized economy.
 

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Contents

Preface and Acknowledgements
7
Introduction
13
There will be fewer people
27
Oil and gas boom or postponement?
39
The economy will continue to depend on natural
57
The political picture will change but how?
75
Pristine wilderness or environmental disaster zone?
89
Big Oil Playground
97
Russian Bear Preserve
119
European Periphery
141
WildCards
163
Comparing the scenarios
173
Barents Russia a region at the receiving end
197
Useful literature
203
About the authors
211
Copyright

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About the author (2004)

Bjørn Brunstad is a scenario methodology advisor at and Eivind Magnus is a senior economist and vice-president of ECON Analysis. Philip Swanson is a partner in ECON Analysis specializing in development issues. Geir Hønneland is director of the Russian and Polar Programme at the Fridtjof Nansen Institute in Norway. Indra øverland is a senior research fellow at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs.

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