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Business cycle theory in the 1980s
The financial instability hypothesis
Towards a theory of dynamic economic development
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amplitude analysis approach argues assets assumed asymmetry autocorrelation behaviour boom Burns and Mitchell capital capitalist catastrophe theory changes crisis cycle theory cyclical depression detrending dynamic economic development econometric models economic time series effects endogenous equilibrium exchange rate exogenous variables expansion explain financial crises financial system fluctuations Frisch Frisch-Slutsky further discussion geometrically distributed Goodwin growth cycles Haberler implies increase inflation innovations innovatory investment interest rates Keynes Keynesian Kindleberger Kydland and Prescott limit cycle linear linear models LOLR long cycles long swing Lucas macroeconomic MC hypothesis Minsky Minsky's monetary shocks money supply Mullineux 1984 NBER Neftci nonlinear observed oscillations output period phases Plosser post-war profits propagation model random shocks rational expectations recession reference cycle result role Schumpeter section 2.3 sector serial correlation Shackle Slutsky speculative stochastic stochastic process structural technology shocks trend uncertainty unemployment United Kingdom Wicksellian Zarnowitz