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On Models Theories and Causal Explanations
Causal Explanation in History
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aggregate American assessment associated assumptions attempt belief causal analysis causal explanation causal factors causal law ceteris paribus Chapter cited cliometric cliometrician Cobb-Douglas Cobb-Douglas production function concerning conclusions confidence intervals constant counterfactual speculation defined demand curves discussion dispositions econometric economic history economic theory economist effect equation estimate evidence example experience explanation in history factors of production facts forecast formulation frequency Fritz Machlup given growth Hempel historian human behavior hypothesis implied income inference input-output input-output analysis inputs knowledge labor latter log-linear demand macroeconomics marginal mathematics mechanisms methodology Michael Scriven model building Nagel nomic noted observable phenomena occurred output perfect competition philosopher phrase possible postulates precise predict probabilistic problem production function question reasons regression analysis relationship relative importance relevant result Samuelson sense similar cause specific statement statistical substitution subsuming sufficient conditions suggests supply techniques tion variables viewed