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INTERNATIONAL MONET ARY FUND
Log Differenced CPI
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allocation of consumption appreciation assets Australia average Bank of Chile Box-Jenkins Canada CBCH central bank Chile Chilean pesos CODELCO coefficient credit constraints crisis cyclical component depreciation effect emerging markets endogenous equation exchange rate excluding expenditure export external debt fiscal forecast errors Fund staff estimates higher-income countries hyperbolic discounting improve welfare includes indicators inflation target interest rate labor liquidity constraints measure Median Memorandum items model of inflation monetary policy monetary policy shocks Nadal-De Simone official inflation target open economy model out-of-sample forecasts outliers output gap paper percent of GDP percentage change Phillips curve model policy actions policy announcement pre-announced official inflation private sector Q-Statistics ratio reaction regime regressions serial correlation short-term debt small open economy standardized forecast errors state-space models Statistics Table time-varying parameter time-varying Phillips curve transmission mechanism U.S. dollar unit root variable taxes variance wealth effect within-day Zealand Zettelmeyer 2000