China's Changing Political Landscape: Prospects for Democracy

封面
Cheng Li
Brookings Institution Press, 2009年8月1日 - 342 頁

While China's economic rise is being watched closely around the world, the country's changing political landscape is intriguing, as well. Forces unleashed by market reforms are profoundly recasting state-society relations. Will the Middle Kingdom transition rapidly, slowly, or not at all to political democracy? In China's Changing Political Landscape, leading experts examine the prospects for democracy in the world's most populous nation. China's political transformation is unlikely to follow a linear path. Possible scenarios include development of democracy as we understand it; democracy with more clearly Chinese characteristics; mounting regime instability due to political and socioeconomic crises; and a modified authoritarianism, perhaps modeled on other Asian examples such as Singapore. Which road China ultimately takes will depend on the interplay of socioeconomic forces, institutional developments, leadership succession, and demographic trends. Cheng Li and his colleagues break down a number of issues in Chinese domestic politics, including changing leadership dynamics; the rise of business elites; increased demand for the rule of law; and shifting civil-military relations. Although the contributors clash on many issues, they do agree on one thing: the political trajectory of this economic powerhouse will have profound implications, not only for 1.3 billion Chinese people, but also for the world as a whole.

 

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內容

Assessing Chinas Political Development
1
Chinese Discourse about Democracy
23
Institutional Development and Generational Change
59
Economic Actors and Economic Policy
119
Agents of Change Media Law and Civil Society
159
Forces for and against Democracy in China
227
External Models and Chinas Future
281
Contributors
323
Index
331
Back Cover
345
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關於作者 (2009)

Cheng Li is a senior fellow in the John L. Thornton China Center at the Brookings Institution. His previous books include China's Leaders: The New Generation (Rowman and LIttlefield, 2001) and Rediscovering China: Dynamics and Dilemmas of Reform (Rowman and Littlefield, 1997).

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