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action aircraft airline airplanes allocation alternative systems applied assign assumptions attributes basic budget candidate systems cash flow chapter choose configuration constraints cost-effectiveness analysis cost-effectiveness criteria cost-effectiveness evaluations criterion decision matrix decision problem decision rule decision situation decision theory decision-maker Defense design concept design criteria design process discounted cash flow dollars economic effectiveness estimates example expected utility expected value factors fallacy fare Figure forecast formulation goals identified input investment judgment L. J. Savage magnitude maximize measure military minimax missile mission nature objectives omelet operating expenses Operations Research opportunity cost optimal orbit outcome output parameters passenger payload performance probability represent requirements result risk selection specific stage subsonic jet subsystem supersonic transport system design system worth systems analysis systems engineering Table techniques tion traffic U.S. domestic U.S. SST utility functions Value Theory vector weapon system weighting