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Decisions Under Uncertainty
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alternative Analyze Anode Bid Anode's bid arrow assessment branch calculate chance nodes Chapter clairvoyance coin flip collectively exhaustive collectively exhaustive events cumulative probability decision analysis decision analysis cycle decision node decision problem decision tree decision-maker DEPEND ON NODES dependent outcomes dependent probabilities discount rate disk display Draw the influence encoding endpoint node enter equivalent estimate evaluation EXP VAL expected value exponential utility exponential utility function histogram influence diagram input Lotus margin Medequip menu million Modena Place obtain option Order of Nodes oval percent chance perfect information plot Positronics Bid Present Order probabilistic probability distribution probability tree Profit range represent risk tolerance scenario screen shown in Figure spreadsheet strategy structure Supertree uncertain venture uncertainty node utility curve utility function vacancy rate value measure value of information value of perfect variable Venn diagram