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Methodology for Early Warning Indicators
Results for Crisis Affected Countries
22 other sections not shown
adjusted noise-to-signal ratio ARIMA baht balance to GDP banking crisis banking sector behavior CAGDP6 capital account capital flows China Coefficient composite index conditional probability contagion effect countries crises crisis period currency crisis current account deficit deposit depreciation Development dollar domestic credit domestic interest rates early warning system economic crisis economic fundamental exchange market pressure export growth FBGDP12 financial crisis fiscal balance foreign currency foreign exchange Graph growth rate Herrera important indicators of currency Indonesia International Monetary Fund international reserves Kaminsky and Reinhart Korea leading indicators loans M2RESG6 macroeconomic Malaysia methodology monetary money multiplier n/a n/a n/a percent percentage changes percentile Philippines pressure periods probit estimates probit model problems real exchange rate result rupiah sample period Schwarz criterion short-term external debt signaling horizon signals approach speculative attacks standard deviation stock prices sub sample Table Tambunan terms of trade Thailand threshold Vietnam year-on-year growth