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Introduction Edwin Burmeister and Lawrence R Klein
An Evaluation of a ShortRun Forecasting Model
St Louis Model Revisited LeonallC Andersen and Keith
11 other sections not shown
accommodating monetary policy actual adjustments analysis Anticipations Version assumption average behavior billion increase billions of 1958 billions of dollars birth control change of prices coefficients column comparison constant consumption Current Dollars demand distributed lag durable Econometric Models economic effect endogenous estimates ex ante forecasts ex antejex exogenous variables expected rate extrapolation factor Federal fixed investment Fromm Gross National Product growth housing starts impact Implicit price deflator instrumental variable interest rates inventory investment Klein labor force Louis model mean absolute error mean squared error ment monetarists money supply MPS Model MQEM multiplier nominal GNP output paper parameters path percent personal income personal taxes Phillips Curve post forecasts post-sample potential output prediction price equation production Proj quarter ahead rate of change ratio real GNP residential response RMSE's root mean square sample period sector simulation statistics structure Table term tests tion turning points unemployment rate zero