European Organised Crime Scenarios for 2015
Maklu, 2006 - Law - 283 pages
Policy makers no longer focus on repressive aspects of organised crime alone, but want to be informed about coming challenges and threats to allow them to take appropriate preventive action and target their reactive response better. For that reason, there is a growing demand to change the traditional assessments into analyses that include more prospective elements about current and potential future organised crime situations to identify specific risks or threats to society. The book outlines a methodology to perform analyses of long-term threats of organised crime and scenario studies and applies this on four case studies at two different levels: three studies at Member State level (Belgium, Slovenia, and Sweden) and one at the European Union level. ln a last chapter, conclusions and recommendations about the method and its applications are presented. The developed methodological tool and the scenarios are intended as a guide for action and consideration for all actors involved in the fight against organised crime.
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actors analysis areas Belgian Belgium brainstorm characterised coercive measures communication competition cooperation corruption counterstrategies countries created crime control crime in Belgium crime prevention criminal policy cryptography cyber decade decrease deregulations digitalised driving forces drugs economic growth effective energy environment environmental scanning European European Union fight against organised focal issue focus framework ganised global globalisation highly illegal illicit markets increased institutions intellectual property rights ised crime labour law enforcement agencies legitimacy licit sectors Lisbon Strategy Member ment money laundering networks OC-groups organised crime groups organised criminal activity political system population priorities private sector privatisation protection public sector region regulation result scenario planning sham companies Slovenia society Stockholm strategies strong structure Sweden Swedish terrorism threats tion trade union trade union movement trafficking in human transnational trends uncertainty Vander Beken vulnerable welfare