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ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE AND THE ECONOMY
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_§___ ADT Diverted ADTD BOT project calculated capital cash ﬂows Chapter concession contract concession period concessionaire construction cost debt decision deﬁned deﬁnitely discount rate economic estimate expected values expenditures facility feasibility evaluation model FEMTH ﬁg ﬁgure ﬁnal ﬁnancial ﬁnancing ﬁrst ﬁxed function funds govemment host government identiﬁcation inﬂation inﬂuence diagram initial ADT interest rates investment maintenance costs Martin Texmelucan-Tlaxcala-El Molinito Mexican toll operation pavement percent percentage prime rate private sector probability proﬁt proﬁtability measure project cost project execution project risk project schedule QQQ QQQ QQQQ QQQQQ retum revenue risk analysis RISK functions Risks Matrix San Martin Texmelucan-Tlaxcala-El simulation speciﬁc spreadsheet standard deviation structure toll collection toll income toll price toll road project toll-trafﬁc demand model trafﬁc growth rate transportation triangular distribution U.S. dollars uncertainty variables World Bank