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CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS AND ISSUES
Accuracy of the U S Census Bureau National Population Projections
Evaluation and Optimization of Population Projections Using Loss Functions
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A-Index accuracy actual adjusted aggregate demand Agriculture analysis annual ARIMA assumptions average Box-Jenkins Bureau of Labor business cycle cointegration commodity components convergence decline demand dental dentists Economic Research Service employment equation estimates expected factors farm price Figure forecast error futures method growth rate household projections householder rates households and families impact increase indices industry inflation input inventory Knightian uncertainty Labor Statistics lagged loss function manufacturing MAPE measure migration monthly months NAIRU na´ve no-change forecasts number of households occupational output overall percent change percentage phase plane physician supply population projections potential predicted productivity growth relative RMSE rural and urban SAFP SAS Institute SAS System seasonal sector skill soybean specific spouse present status and householder structural survey Table Theil's Trend Model U.S. Census Bureau U.S. Department urban distributions variables veteran population WASDE workers X12 procedure