Financial Crises and Contagion in Emerging Market Countries, Issue 62
Julia Lowell, Carl Richard Neu, Daochi Tong, National Defense Research Institute (U. S.), National Security Research Institute (U.S.)
RAND, 1998 - Business & Economics - 62 pages
Explores why some financial crises appear to be contagious, and why some financial markets in emerging market countries appear to be vulnerable to contagion whereas others are not.
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Four Informal Models of Financial Contagion
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Argentina asset price collapses August billion Boundary Number Brazil capital inflows central bank Chile China Collapses Collapses Collapses of Sample common shock Contagion Indicators contagious crises Country Groupings country-specific factors crisis episodes Crisis Period currency crisis currency market December decline devaluation developed domestic downstream economic linkages emerging market countries exchange rate financial centers financial contagion financial crisis financial markets foreign exchange reserves foreign reserves Germany Gulf War Herd behavior Hong Kong Hungary hypothesis of causality identify Indonesia investment Japan Latin American EMCs loans Malaysia Mexican peso crisis Mexico models of financial multicountry crises null hypothesis Number of Percent percent confidence Philippines Poland rand regional reject null hypothesis retail investors short-term Singapore South Africa Southeast Asian EMCs stock and currency Stock Market Crashes stock price movements Table Table Table Taiwan Thai baht Thai baht crisis Thailand transmission mechanisms trigger variable Turkey U.S. dollar U.S. interest rate Venezuela vulnerable to contagion