## Fundamental Analysis |

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### Contents

The Great Fundamental versus Technical Analysis Debate | 3 |

For Beginners Only | 6 |

Fourteen Popular Fallacies or What Not to Do Wrong | 11 |

SupplyDemand Analysis Basic Economic Theory | 14 |

Types of Fundamental Analysis | 18 |

Applying Technical Analysis to Fundamental Data | 21 |

The Role of Expectations | 25 |

Incorporating Inflation | 28 |

The Great Fundamental versus Technical Analysis Debate | 127 |

For Beginners Only | 128 |

Fourteen Popular Fallacies or What Not to Do Wrong | 131 |

Basic Economic Theory | 132 |

Types of Fundamental Analysis | 134 |

Applying Technical Analysis to Fundamental Data | 135 |

The Role of Expectations | 138 |

Incorporating Inflation | 139 |

Seasonal Analysis | 31 |

MarketbyMarket Seasonally | 34 |

Analyzing Market Response | 38 |

Government Programs and International Agreements | 42 |

A StepbyStep Approach | 46 |

Fundamental Analysis and Trading | 49 |

Introduction to Regression Analysis | 52 |

A Review of Elementary Statistics | 55 |

Checking the Significance of the Regression Equation | 60 |

The Multiple Regression Model | 64 |

Analyzing the Regression Equation | 67 |

Practical Considerations in Applying Regression Analysis | 71 |

Forecasting Hog Prices | 74 |

Forecasting Cattle Prices | 78 |

Forecasting Grain Prices | 82 |

Forecasting Soybean Prices | 86 |

Forecasting Sugar Prices | 90 |

Forecasting Coffee Prices | 94 |

Forecasting Crude Oil Prices | 98 |

Forecasting Copper Prices | 102 |

Forecasting Gold Precious Metal Prices | 105 |

Forecasting Currency Rates | 108 |

Forecasting Interest Rates | 112 |

Forecasting Foreign Interest Rate Markets | 116 |

Forecasting the Stock Market | 120 |

PART TWO Answers Solutions | 125 |

Seasonal Analysis | 140 |

MarketbyMarket Seasonality | 143 |

Analyzing Market Response | 145 |

Government Programs and International Agreements | 147 |

A StepbyStep Approach | 149 |

Fundamental Analysis and Trading | 150 |

Introduction to Regression Analysis | 152 |

A Review of Elementary Statistics | 154 |

Checking the Significance of the Regression Equation | 156 |

The Multiple Regression Model | 158 |

Analyzing the Regression Equation | 160 |

Practical Considerations in Applying Regression Analysis | 162 |

Forecasting Hog Prices | 163 |

Forecasting Cattle Prices | 165 |

Forecasting Grain Prices | 167 |

Forecasting Soybean Prices | 169 |

Forecasting Sugar Prices | 171 |

Forecasting Coffee Prices | 173 |

Forecasting Crude Oil Prices | 175 |

Forecasting Copper Prices | 177 |

Forecasting Gold Precious Metal Prices | 178 |

Forecasting Currency Rates | 179 |

Forecasting Interest Rates 1 g i | 183 |

Forecasting the Stock Market | 185 |

About the Authors | 187 |

### Common terms and phrases

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