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Futurist Methodologies and the Social Sciences
Optimists vs Pessimists
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agencies Alvin Toffler American argued assume assumption belief Bertrand de Jouvenel catastrophist Center for Strategic century Club of Rome Commission concern cornucopian course CSIS cultural democracy dystopian economic economists existence exogenous expert Ferkiss forces foresee futurist enterprise futurist methodology futurist movement futurology global Herman Kahn Hudson Institute human impact important increasing increasingly individuals industrial influential Institute intellectual Jay Forrester limits to growth major method military National Goals normative noted nuclear optimistic oriented particular past pessimistic planners Policy political scientist population growth possible post-industrial society predict the future premise present probability problems prophecies recent Robert Heilbroner scenarios science and technology science fiction scientific and technological scientific utopianism simply social science Soviet Union Strategic and International technological forecasting Third World tion trend extrapolation United utopian tradition various Wall Street Journal Walter Laqueur Washington Papers World Future Society writing York