Handbook of foreign policy analysis: methods for practical application in foreign policy planning, strategic planning, and business risk assessment
Brill Academic Pub, 1989 - Law - 392 pages
This book provides the reader with a comprehensive study of the future perspectives of the international order after the collapse of the Evil Empire. The first part of the book reviews the likely evolution of the international system in the years to come, covering the global implications of the end of the East--West order (political, economic & strategic impact); the second part studies the specificities of the situation in Europe, the U.S.A., Asia, & the rest of the world, as well as the role of some international organizations. The book addresses the basic questions facing us since the collapse of the socialist system: What has been the impact of the collapse of the East--West order on the international system? How will various regions & actors be affected by these changes? How will they react to them? What will be the most important challenges & threats in the future international system, & how can we prepare for them? Gathered together in this volume are contributions from some of the most eminent experts from the academic community as well as from governmental & international organizations, making it a reference book for students of international affairs as well as policy-makers & corporate managers.
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ae,ow diagram AFLEET IFLEET AEXP analysis cf analysis Chapter Application APRES IPRES AFLEET assessment assumptions atnd Basic Idea Bayesian inference be.een behaviour calculated cial coe,elation coefficients coe,esponding cognitive mapping compari.n computer programs corr.ation coefficient countries coup cross-impact analysis cue,ent data series decision decision-making decisional tree dependent dev.opment deviations E.ample economic ee,or employed estimated experts factor analysis factor loadings flow chart forecast ftware fu.re Further Reading game theory global modeling hosaver impact independent variable indicators IPRES AFLEET IFLEET means measures methods mode multiple regression n9ber occue,ence Occurrence of consequence options parameters path coefficients pefnts per.nal per.ns periodogram political Possible Follow-ups prediction probability problem question R-factor rea.ns regression analysis regression coefficients regression equation relationship be.een relationship betsaen respective saighted sall scientific scores simple simulation situation statistical Step systematic Table utility v,iables values variance