How to Tell the Liars from the Statisticians

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CRC Press, Mar 9, 1983 - Mathematics - 192 pages
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Contents

Chances and Drug Laws 77
11
The Elmer Gantry Effect
17
When the Truth is Not the Whole Truth
19
Ceteris Paribus
21
Statistics of Discrimination
23
A Paradox in Discrimination Statistics
26
Smoking and Cancer
28
People are Different
30
Population Size and the Quality of Life
94
Raisins Nuts and Samples
96
Political Polls
98
Opinion Surveys
101
Television Ratings More of the Same
104
The Significance of Significance
106
Garbage inGarbage out
108
The Double Negative and the Consumer
111

Risk Taking in Industry
32
The Risk Takers Image
34
When Should We Take Chances?
36
Cost Accounting
39
Bridges Underpasses and Corporate Profits
41
Are You Average Enough?
44
Infatuation with Averages
46
The Law of Averages Compulsive Gambling and the Rubber Band Theory
48
A Rational View of Luck
50
Luck and Skill Combined
53
Luck and Dependence
55
Confidence and Dependence
57
Sports Form and Consistency
59
Who Is Unemployed?
61
Cost of Living
63
TradeOffs
65
False Alarms
67
Liberals and Conservatives
69
OneArmed Consultants
71
The GGFTGN the Bill of Rights and Other Things
73
Things to Think about while Waiting to See the Doctor
75
Zero or Nothing?
77
Quality Control and Zero Defects
80
Scaling Up and Down
83
More Is Less
85
Large Samples and Bad News
87
Rare Floods Rare Scientists and Frustrated Authors
89
The World Is Getting Smaller
92
The Double Negative and Social Science
112
What Is Correlation?
114
The Coin that Wont Stand on Edge
116
Guilt by Association
118
Psychological Tests and Job Success
120
Credit and Your Computer Kin
122
College Entrance Tests
124
Science and Statistics 727
127
The Scientific Method
129
Looking Backward vs Looking Forward
132
Controlled Experimentation
135
Cause and Effect
137
Value Judgments and Planning
139
SerendipityPuttering vs Planning
142
Unconscious Dishonesty
144
Watch out for 67
146
What Experimenters Can Learn from Football and Card Players
148
A Digression on Random Digits and Computer Simulation 750
150
Generalizations 753
153
Within vs Between 755
155
A Thought about Stereotypes 755
158
Longevity at the Hot Corner 760
160
Lets Save Some Money
163
There Are No Easy Solutions 765
165
Separating the Liars from the Statisticians 767
167
Index 769
169
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