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Setting the Stage
Historical Perspective of Technological Forecasting
Practical Refinements to the CrossImpact Matrix Technique
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aerospace aircraft analysis application approach basis budget capability Cetron chemical Circle one response corporate correlation cost Cross-impact analysis decision Delphi Delphi method Delphi technique division economic electronics engineering environment Erich Jantsch estimate evaluation event example expected exploratory External-combustion engines factors forecasting techniques formal function funding future goals increase individual industry input intuitive linear programming long-range plans major matrix ment methods morphological box normal distribution objectives operations operations research organization panel panelists parameters performed planners possible potential present probability problem programs project selection quantitative questionnaire R&D efforts R&D planning relevance numbers relevance tree requirements research and development resource allocation scale shown in Figure specific staff substitution success Table task area tech technical technological forecasting tion trend extrapolation updated utility X X X