Inference and Disputed Authorship: The Federalist
Center for the Study of Language and Information, 2007 - Language Arts & Disciplines - 303 pages
The 1964 publication of Inference and Disputed Authorship made the cover of Time magazine and the attention of academics and the public alike for its use of statistical methodology to solve one of American history’s most notorious questions: the disputed authorship of the Federalist Papers.
Back in print for a new generation of readers, this classic volume applies mathematics, including the once-controversial Bayesian analysis, into the heart of a literary and historical problem by studying frequently used words in the texts. The reissue of this landmark book will be welcomed by anyone interested in the juncture of history, political science, and authorship.
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The Federalist Papers As a Case Study
Words and Their Distributions
3A Independence of words from one block of text to another
17 other sections not shown
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30 words adjustment applied assumptions asymptotic average Bayes Bayesian analysis beta distribution calibrating set cent choice CN CN CN computation contextual correction correlation counts discrimination disputed papers evaluation evidence example expected log odds Federalist papers final odds function words given Hamilton and Madison Hamilton Madison Hamilton markers Hamilton papers high-frequency words independent initial odds known authorship likelihood ratio logarithm low-frequency words Madison markers Madison papers main study marker words matrix mean rates method modal approximation mode negative binomial distribution non-Poissonness normally distributed odds factor paper length paper of length papers of known parameters Poisson distribution Poisson model posterior density posterior distribution predictions prior density prior distributions probability random variable sample score screening set Section sets of underlying shown in Table standard deviations statistical theorem total log odds underlying constants unknown paper variance variation word groups word rates writing zero