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AN ECONOMIC THEORY OF INFLATION
THE QUANTITY THEORY AND THE PRICE EQUATION
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actual rate alteration analysis ARIMA Barro's equation Box-Jenkins calculated change in policy chapter coefficients constant term structure demand for money determined discussed distributed lag Dutch guilder econometric models economic agents effects empirical endogenous equation of exchange error term example exogenous variables expected growth rate expected money growth expected rate FEDV forecast errors forward premium future hyperinflation hypothesis income increase inflationary expectations influence interest rates Knoester Korteweg monetary authorities monetary base monetary impulse money function money stock money supply moving average multivariate Netherlands non-rational model original model output equation past rates predictions price change price equation price level proxy rate of growth rate of inflation rate of interest rate of money rate of price rational expectations regression residuals sector shifts shocks stochastic structural models structure of expectations systematic temporary U.S. dollar unexpected changes univariate model values wages white noise world trade