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1998:11 Included observations adaptive expectations Akaike info criterion Anna Schwartz Apr May Jun Aug Sep Oct Bank of Malawi broad money Christopher Adam D(INF D(RIR Dependent Variable econometric model economic Error t-Statistic Prob exchange rate fails to reject Feb Mar Apr Friedman growth in money inflation in Malawi inflation rate interest rates Inverted AR Roots Jan Feb Mar Jul Aug Sep Jun Jul Aug Kenya Kwacha Least Squares Date liberalisation Mean Absolute Error Mean dependent MODELLING INFLATION monetarist school Monetary Policy money supply naive model NDCG Null hypothesis Observed Inflation Oct Nov Dec OI OOOOO4 OOOOMO OOOOI OI OOOOO4 OOOOL2 OOOOI OI OOOOMO OOOOL2 OOOOI OOOOMO OOOOO2 OOOOO4 OOOOMO OOOOL2 Prob(F-statistic projections recent inflation reject the Null Root Mean Squared S.D. dependent S.E. of regression Sample(adjusted Schwarz criterion Sep Oct Nov significance level Sum squared resid Test fails time-series analysis unit root Variable Coefficient Std Zambia