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Akaike info criterion analysis Archibald and Hunter assumptions Barassi calibrated model chart Coefficient Std cointegration consumption to output covariance matrix decline denominated import prices dependent var Akaike dependent var S.D. Dependent Variable discuss disinflation domestic prices domestically denominated import economic theory Error t-Statistic Prob Error z-Statistic estimated models evidence of structural example exchange rate depreciation exchange rate fluctuations exchange rate passthrough exchange rate shift forecasting and policy forecasting process FPS-based view framework Hannan-Quinn criter inflation target inflationary investigated Kalman filter macroeconomic models Modelling an evolving Monetary Policy Committee national accounts neutral real rate optimal estimator based output ratio paper Phillips curve plausible policymakers possible pricing to market real interest rate recalibrate recent recursive estimation Reserve Bank risks robust S.D. dependent specification speed of adjustment state-space model structural change suggested Taylor rule tests time-varying coefficients time-varying parameters unit labour cost variable in period z-Statistic Prob Zealand economy