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The Modeling Framework
The Base Projection
Employment labor supply and migration
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allocated Appendix balance of payments base projection base run capital CGE model SIO coefficients commodity prices Computable General Equilibrium consumer prices consumption copra current account balance demand for labor derived devaluation difference on base domestic prices employment equation exogenous expatriates expenditure factor rewards foreign exchange freight margins function gross output growth rates household incomes impact income ni-Vanuatu increase indexation indirect taxes investment iterations labor market matrix model SIO model ni-Vanuatu labor Ni-Vanuatu urban non-traded activities non-traded commodities operating surplus output percent difference percentage change terms period Primary export producer prices production public sector Re-exports Real wages reflecting rise rural cash economy rural labor supply Rural ni-Vanuatu rural wages rural-urban migration rural-urban terms sensitivity test SIO model 1988 skill specified subsistence economy terms of trade tion tourism trade and freight unskilled labor urban unemployment urban wages value added prices Vanuatu variables world prices