Population Decline and the Remaking of Great Power Politics

Front Cover
Susan Yoshihara, Douglas A. Sylva
Potomac Books, Inc., 2012 - Political Science - 304 pages
Remarkably, most conventional wisdom about the shifting balance of world power virtually ignores one of the most fundamental components of power: population. The studies that do consider international security and demographic trends almost unanimously focus on population growth as a liability. In contrast, the distinguished contributors to this volume--security experts from the Naval War College, the American Enterprise Institute, and other think tanks--contend that demographic decline in key world powers now poses a profound challenge to global stability. The countries at greatest risk are in the developed world, where birthrates are falling and populations are aging. Many have already lost significant human capital, capital that would have helped them innovate and fuel their economy, man their armed forces, and secure a place at the table of world power. By examining the effects of diverging population trends between the United States and Europe and the effects of rapid population aging in Japan, India, and China, this book uncovers increasing tensions within the transatlantic alliance and destabilizing trends in Asian security. Thus, it argues, relative demographic decline may well make the world less, and not more, secure.
 

Contents

FOREWORD
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
INTRODUCTION
PART IPROSPECTS PRECEDENT AND PRINCIPLES
1THE GEOPOLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF GLOBAL AGING
2STRATEGIC EFFECTS OF DEMOGRAPHIC SHOCKSTHE CLASSICAL PRECEDENT
3POPULATION IN THE STUDY OF GEOPOLITICS
PART IITHE END OF WESTERN CONSENSUS?
PART IIITURBULENCE IN ASIAS RISE
7THE SETTING SUN? STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF JAPANS DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
8THE GEOPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF CHINAS DEMOGRAPHIC TURMOIL
9INDIAS DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE ASIAN STRATEGIC LANDSCAPE
CONCLUSIONPOPULATION POWER AND PURPOSE
NOTES
SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY
INDEX

4POPULATION AND HEALTH CONSTRAINTS ON THE RUSSIAN MILITARY
5EUROPES STRATEGIC FUTURE AND THE NEED FOR LARGEFAMILY PRONATALISMA NORMATIVE STUDY OF DEMOGRAPHIC DECL...
6AMERICAN DEMOGRAPHIC EXCEPTIONALISM AND THE FUTURE OF US MILITARY POWER
ABOUT THE EDITORS
ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS
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