Population Decline and the Remaking of Great Power Politics

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Susan Yoshihara, Douglas A. Sylva
Potomac Books, Inc., 2012 - Political Science - 304 pages
Remarkably, most conventional wisdom about the shifting balance of world power virtually ignores one of the most fundamental components of power: population. The studies that do consider international security and demographic trends almost unanimously focus on population growth as a liability. In contrast, the distinguished contributors to this volume--security experts from the Naval War College, the American Enterprise Institute, and other think tanks--contend that demographic decline in key world powers now poses a profound challenge to global stability. The countries at greatest risk are in the developed world, where birthrates are falling and populations are aging. Many have already lost significant human capital, capital that would have helped them innovate and fuel their economy, man their armed forces, and secure a place at the table of world power. By examining the effects of diverging population trends between the United States and Europe and the effects of rapid population aging in Japan, India, and China, this book uncovers increasing tensions within the transatlantic alliance and destabilizing trends in Asian security. Thus, it argues, relative demographic decline may well make the world less, and not more, secure.
 

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Contents

FOREWORD
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
INTRODUCTION
PART IPROSPECTS PRECEDENT AND PRINCIPLES
1THE GEOPOLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF GLOBAL AGING
2STRATEGIC EFFECTS OF DEMOGRAPHIC SHOCKSTHE CLASSICAL PRECEDENT
3POPULATION IN THE STUDY OF GEOPOLITICS
PART IITHE END OF WESTERN CONSENSUS?
PART IIITURBULENCE IN ASIAS RISE
7THE SETTING SUN? STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF JAPANS DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
8THE GEOPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF CHINAS DEMOGRAPHIC TURMOIL
9INDIAS DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE ASIAN STRATEGIC LANDSCAPE
CONCLUSIONPOPULATION POWER AND PURPOSE
NOTES
SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY
INDEX

4POPULATION AND HEALTH CONSTRAINTS ON THE RUSSIAN MILITARY
5EUROPES STRATEGIC FUTURE AND THE NEED FOR LARGEFAMILY PRONATALISMA NORMATIVE STUDY OF DEMOGRAPHIC DECL...
6AMERICAN DEMOGRAPHIC EXCEPTIONALISM AND THE FUTURE OF US MILITARY POWER
ABOUT THE EDITORS
ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS
Copyright

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About the author (2012)

Susan Yoshihara is director of the International Organizations Research Group and senior vice president for research at the Catholic Family and Human Rights Institute. She is the author of "Waging War to Make Peace: U.S. Intervention in Global Conflicts" (2010), and her work has appeared in numerous periodicals. She received her PhD in international relations from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University. She lives in Portsmouth, Rhode Island.

Douglas A. Sylva is a senior fellow at the Catholic Family and Human Rights Institute. He has also served on various Holy See delegations at the United Nations. He is a widely published writer whose articles have appeared in such publications as the "New York Times", the "Washington Times", the "Weekly Standard", and "National Review". He holds a PhD in political science from Columbia University and lives in Summit, New Jersey.

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