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Using a National Model to Predict Sentence at the Circuit
Predicting Sentence at the District Level
Consistency of Sentencing Over Time
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actual and predicted actual sentences actually imposed aggregate analytic reports auto theft basis compared correlation between actual criminal dispositions Criminal Justice Statistics dicted difference between actual District of Illinois District of Michigan Eastern District eight focal offenses Enforcement Assistance Administration Fifth Circuit focal districts imposed in 1971 jurisdictions jury trial Justice Statistics Project Juvenile Law Enforcement Assistance lenient mean difference mean sentence weight Mean SWT multiple regression NARC narcotics offenses narcotics sentences National Criminal Justice national level national model national pattern national sentencing patterns nolo contendere Northern District offenders convicted offense groups offense-specific percent predictability of sentences predicted sen predicted sentence weights predictor regression analysis regression equation relative severity respective robbery and narcotics sentence weights imposed sentences imposed sentencing councils severity of sentences specific Table tence weights tences imposed tion tional trict U.S. Department Utilization of Criminal variables variation in sentences X X X York