Preventive measures: building risk assessment and crisis early warning systems

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Rowman & Littlefield, 1998 - Law - 288 pages
State failure, ethnopolitical war, genocide, famine, and refugee flows are variants of a type of complex political and humanitarian crisis, exemplified during the 1990s in places like Somalia, Bosnia, Liberia, and Afghanistan. The international consequences of such crises are profound, often threatening regional security and requiting major inputs of humanitarian assistance. They also may pose long-term and costly challenges of rebuilding shattered governments and societies. A vital policy question is whether failures can be diagnosed far enough in advance to facilitate effective international efforts at prevention or peacful transformation. This volume of original essays examines crisis early warning factors at different levels, in different settings, and judges their effectiveness according to various models. Top contributors offer answers along with analyses as they move from early warning to early response in their policy recommendations.

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Contents

An Overview
1
Structural Indicators and Risk Assessment Models
15
Early Warning Research for U
27
Copyright

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About the author (1998)

Davies is Research Coordinator for the Center for International Development and Conflict Management (CIDCM)

Ted Robert Gurr, professor of political science at the University of Colorado, Boulder, is the author of numerous books, including "Why Men Rebel" (1970), which received the Woodrow Wilson Award, and coauthor of "The Politics of Crime and Conflict: A Comparative History of Four Cities" (1977). Desmond S. King, lecturer in politics at the University of Edinburgh, is the author of "The New Right: Politics, Markets and Citizenship,"

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