Problems in Predicting Market Response to New Transportation Technology |
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57th Transportation Research 58th Transportation acceptance age of respondent air quality analysis Argonne National Laboratory Auto weight AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSIONS Baseline Cambridge Systematics changes commercialization competition constraints consumer theory conventional vehicles decision variables Demand Model demonstration Department of Energy design goals developed DIESEL DISC BRAKES dummy variable economic electric vehicles environmental estimates example expenditures remain high failure Figure fleet managers forecasting Gas Tax Hybrid Vehicle Incentives large market Lave/Train model Lawrence Livermore Laboratory Li/S locomotives M. J. Bernard market penetration Market Potential multicar households multinomial logit models Ni/Zn batteries nologies nonwork trips performance characteristics potential market predict problems Program quantity squared relative Research Board Meeting scenario building SRI International statistical manipulation subsidy three success factors tion Transportation Research Board transportation system transportation technologies transportation-technology travel behavior trip planning trips in multicar TURBOJET TURBOPROP types U.S. Department urban vehicle characteristics Vehicle Market ventional vehicles