Rand Conference on Models of the Soviet Economy: October 11-12, 1984
"This report documents a conference to explore issues associated with modeling the Soviet economy to enhance Western capabilities for accurately assessing the Soviet Union's economic prospects and alternatives. Four major large-scale, economy-wide models of the Soviet Union have been developed in the West over the past few years by Wharton Econometrics, the Central Intelligence Agency, Decision-Science Applications, and The RAND Corporation. Representatives of these institutions discussed their experience with large-scale models, the analytical questions addressed, the principal findings to date, and the focus of current work. They described the structure of each model in four areas: (1) the defense sector and its relationship to the economy; (2) foreign trade and its linkage to the domestic economy; (3) energy and its linkage to growth and trade; and (4) accounting for bottlenecks and other constraints. They then assessed the different modeling approaches and suggested possible future directions in Soviet economic analysis."--Rand Abstracts.
What people are saying - Write a review
We haven't found any reviews in the usual places.
Other editions - View all
allocation analysis Andrew Marshall assumed assumptions basic behavior bottlenecks capital and labor capital investment capital stock changes Charles Wolf CIA model constraints construction consumption costs defense spending developed discussion DSA model DYNEVAL economic model effect elasticity endogenous energy estimate exogenous exports factor productivity growth final demand flick forecast foreign trade future George Pugh Henry Rowen I-O tables impact important industrial input-output table inputs issue machine-building machinery military sector model the Soviet nonmilitary objective function optimal control model optimizing model output parameters percent predict price of oil priority problem production functions production possibility frontier projection question Rand model rate of growth relationships ruble scenario shadow prices simulation Soviet data Soviet defense Soviet economy Soviet Union SOVMOD SOVSIM specific structure technological tion total factor productivity tradeoff curve translog U.S. and Soviet U.S. economy value-added variables Western Wharton model