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THE NATURE OF RISK
NEGATIVITY EVALUATION AND COMPARISON
PROBABILITY AND ITS RAMIFICATIONS
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acceptable accident Accordingly action Amos Tversky analysis arises automatically bability Baruch Fischhoff basis bottom alternative catastrophe avoidance ceptability chance Chauncey Starr choice circumstances clearly conservatism consider considerations cost Daniel Kahneman death decision decision theory depicted in Figure determining dilemma disaster disparity of risks economic effective zerohood effectively zero ethical eventuations example expected value face fact gamble harm human INDIFFERENCE CURVES individual involved issue judgmental loss lottery magnitude management of risks matter measure ment midpoint negativity nuclear operate outcome parameters PASCAL'S WAGER Paul Slovic Petersburg paradox political poses potential preferable principle of catastrophe probabilistic prospect of catastrophe question real possibility reasonable reduce represent result risk assessment risk evaluation risk management risk situation risk-taking rule safety simply social society sort standard subjective substantial sure sure-thing equivalent technological hazards thalidomide theoretical things threat threshold tion top alternative Type I errors uncertainty unrealism various