Risk Intelligence: How to Live with Uncertainty

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Atlantic Books, Jul 1, 2012 - Science - 300 pages

There is a special kind of intelligence for dealing with risk and uncertainty. It doesn't correlate with IQ and most psychologists fail to spot it because it is found in such a disparate, rag-tag group of people such as weather-forecasters, professional gamblers and hedge-fund managers.

This book shows just how important risk intelligence is. Many people in positions which require high risk intelligence - doctors, financial regulators and bankers - seem unable to navigate doubt and uncertainty. Risk Intelligence is a traveller's guide to the twilight zone of probabilities and speculation. Dylan Evans shows us how risk intelligence is vital to making good decisions, from dealing with climate change to combating terrorism. He argues that we can all learn a lot from expert gamblers, not just about money, but about how to make decisions in all aspects of our lives.

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RISK INTELLIGENCE: How to Live with Uncertainty

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Risk analyst and popular-science writer Evans (Placebo: Mind Over Matter in Modern Medicine, 2004, etc.) analyzes the fallacy of the quest for certainty in making decisions.["M]ost of us simply aren't ... Read full review

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About the author (2012)

Dylan Evans is the author of several critically acclaimed books, including Emotion: The Science of Sentiment (Oxford University Press, 2001) and Placebo: The Belief Effect (HarperCollins, 2003). He has a PhD in philosophy from the London School of Economics and is the founder of Projection Point, a company that designs risk intelligence training programs for corporate clients. He writes regularly for The Huffington Post and often appears on BBC Radio.

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