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Subjective probabilityThe Bayesian approach
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1987 John Wiley accident risk activities approach aspects Aston University attitudes Bayesian behaviour beta distribution cancer carcinogenicity communication complex concept of risk consequences considered context Cyclone Tracy danger decision theory decision-making decisions dimensions disasters distribution Edited by W. T. effects emergency environment environmental estimate evaluation evidence example experience factors Fischhoff formal frequency Hale hazard perception Helles0y Hovden important industry involved JAMES-STEIN ESTIMATORS judgements major hazards Marek means military Norway Norwegian nuclear objective Ocean Ranger operational organization organizational and social outcomes perceived risk person Perusse policy-making political possible potential probability probability distribution problems Psychology relevant repertory grid responsibility risk analysis risk cognition Risk Research Committee risk-handling SINTEF situation Slovic society specific safety measures Stallen statistics studies subjective risk task theory Trondheim University of Aston University of Bergen W. T. Singleton
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