Rum, religion, and votes: 1928 re-examined
"The first section of this book presents arithmetic evidence that Alfred Smith was a strong Democratic candidate in 1928. The second presents statistical proof that the so-called liquor, religious, and metropolitan issues had no significant relation to Smith's electoral strength. The third and final section is concerned with problems of political historiography in the study of American elections."--Publisher's description.
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The Correlates of Smiths Electoral Strength
A Brief Word on Methodology
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531 electoral votes Big-city Catholic Catholicism Census cent of total Coefficient of Coefficient Coefficient of partial Congressional Election congressional ticket correlate of Smith's correlation between Smith's correlation partial regression Democratic percentage density MULTIPLE CORRELATION electoral votes factors foreign white stock Hoover's gain independent variables index of Smith's IV-B LaFollette Mean Standard deviation measure of Smith's metropolitan Montana MULTIPLE CORRELATION Multiple Regression Nevada North Carolina number of electoral Oklahoma partial correlation partial correlation partial partial-correlation coefficient Pennsylvania Political Science Review popular vote population density Population density MULTIPLE Presidential and Congressional Protestant Protestantism Range Mean Standard Regression Analysis Regression with Parsimony RESIDUAL SUM simple correlation six analyses Smith's corrected lead Smith's electoral strength Smith's gain Smith's lead Smith's strength South Dakota standard-error-of-estimate SUM OF SQUARES Table III-A Table IV-C total presidential vote U.S. Bureau uncorrected unexplained variance United States 1930 urbanism variables eliminated Vote Cast Vote for liquor voters Washington weighted according Wyoming