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DYNAMIC PROPERTIES OF A CONDENSED VERSION OF
EFFECTS OF AGGREGATION OVER TIME ON DYNAMIC CHAR
AN ECONOMETRIC MODEL OF BUSINESS CYCLES
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aggregate aggregate demand auto-regressive scheme average lag billion business cycles business-cycle CHART coefficients constant adjustments consumer durables consumption corporate profits cyclical deflator dependent variable dummy variables dynamic Econometrica economic employment endogenous ex ante forecasts ex post forecasts exogenous variables fitted period fN fN forecast period frequency Friend-Taubman Fromm Model Goldfeld gross national product Implicit price deflator instrumental variables interest rate inventory investment Klein Model labor least squares linear Liu Model mean-squared errors member baoks method naive model nondurables nonfarm null hypothesis OBE Model plant and equipment plim predictive performance price level quarterly econometric models quarterly models Real consumer regression residential structures sample period sector serial correlation simulations spectrum statistical structural change Table tion TSLS values wage rate Wharton Model Wharton-EFU Model ГП оо СЛ