Successful Decision-making: A Systematic Approach to Complex Problems

Front Cover
Springer Science & Business Media, Mar 14, 2006 - Business & Economics - 232 pages

Making decisions is certainly the most important task of a manager and it is often a very difficult one. This book offers a decision making procedure for solving complex problems step by step. Unlike other texts, the book focuses on problem analysis, on developing solution options and on establishing the decision making matrix.

The book is intended for decision makers in companies, in non-profit organisations and in public administration. It is an approach to helping them to solve complex problems successfully. The book is also addressed to students and to participants in executive courses.

 

What people are saying - Write a review

We haven't found any reviews in the usual places.

Contents

Introduction 1
3
Goal and problemfinding systems as requirements
16
Rational decisions
29
A general heuristic decisionmaking procedure
61
Discovering and analysing the decision problem 81
80
Developing and evaluating options
99
Establishing the overall consequences of the options
120
making the final decision
123
Backwardmoving analysis
168
The financial effects of the five options
175
Special issues and approaches to resolving them 181
180
1 Decision matrix for a product launch problem
186
Complete decision tree
191
Collective decisions
197
Parameters of collective decisions
198
Configurations of two groups of three people
208

12 Example of expectation values
139
17 Two different representations of the same
145
20 Decision matrix as starting point
151
A case study illustrating the application of the procedure
156
Organigram at Special Vehicles 158
162
The sums of the preference intensities of
214
Final remarks
219
Bibliography
227
Copyright

Other editions - View all

Common terms and phrases

Bibliographic information