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Scenario Construction and Hong Kong
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analysis argue Asia Asian assert assumption banks behaviour Beijing British bureaucratic capital capitalist causal Chinese political Communist considerable cross-impact analysis cultural Cultural Revolution decisions Delphi Delphi method Delphi technique Deng Xiaoping economic effects emphasis environment environmental external fact factor financial centre foreign exchange Future of Hong growth Hoguet Hong Kong dollar Hong Kong economy Hong Kong government Ibid implementation industry input-output analysis institutions interviewed investment Japan Japanese Kahn key informants Kong's leadership London mainland Management manufacturing methods models naive Nonetheless officials offshore optimists particular party People's Republic perceived percent pessimists Planning policymakers PRC's prediction problem production prosperity and stability realists reform role rule Scenario Construction sector significant Singapore Sino-British Joint Declaration specific status quo strategy Taiwan techniques Technological Forecasting territory territory's Tokyo trend University Press variables York