The Logic Of Failure: Recognizing And Avoiding Error In Complex SituationsWhy do we make mistakes? Are there certain errors common to failure, whether in a complex enterprise or daily life? In this truly indispensable book, Dietrich Dörner identifies what he calls the “logic of failure”—certain tendencies in our patterns of thought that, while appropriate to an older, simpler world, prove disastrous for the complex world we live in now. Working with imaginative and often hilarious computer simulations, he analyzes the roots of catastrophe, showing city planners in the very act of creating gridlock and disaster, or public health authorities setting the scene for starvation. The Logic of Failure is a compass for intelligent planning and decision-making that can sharpen the skills of managers, policymakers and everyone involved in the daily challenge of getting from point A to point B. |
Other editions - View all
The Logic of Failure: Recognizing and Avoiding Error in Complex Situations Dietrich Dörner No preview available - 1997 |
The Logic of Failure: Why Things Go Wrong and what We Can Do to Make Them Right Dietrich Dörner No preview available - 1996 |
The Logic Of Failure: Recognizing And Avoiding Error In Complex Situations Dietrich Dorner No preview available - 1997 |
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achieve actions AIDS epidemic asked average bad participants Carl von Clausewitz catastrophe cattle checkmate Chernobyl complex situations configurations consequences control rods course deal deceleration decline Dietrich Dörner Dörner drilling dynamic systems example experiment participants exponential exponential growth failure figure gather information Greenvale experiment Greenvale's groundwater growth rate hypotheses important increase individual infected persons kind large number lithum mayor means measures method millet months Moros moth population negative goal operators ourselves partial goals participant's percent planning process positive feedback possible predator predictions prey population problem sector produce psychology reactor real world reality reverse planning Rumpelstiltskin Sahel sequence shows side effects simple simulation solve storeroom strategy success Tanaland task temperature tendency things thought ticipants tion tsetse fly understand University of Bamberg variables wasp nests watch factory West Germany yield