The costs of conflict: the impact on China of a future war
Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 2001 - Business & Economics - 221 pages
It is increasingly important for Americans to think carefully about the vast complexities of the U.S.-China relationship, and the calculations that go into forming courses of action. The key question is: will China s so-called first priority of economic development and its resulting influence on domestic social stability curtail China s continuing reliance on military force as a means of exerting its influence? In addition, will economic development enhance China s comprehensive national power and thus contribute to some of China s more unhealthy goals, such as dominating the South China Seas, seizing Taiwan by force, or grabbing the Senkaku Islands from Japan? Is the China-Taiwan economic dynamic strong enough to offset military adventurism? How this dilemma is managed by the United States, China, and Taiwan will affect the future of Asia, and perhaps the world. We have tried to present in this book factual and analytical essays which stress the need for squarely addressing these questions.
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Chinese Perceptions of the Costs of a Conflict
The Strategic Dimension
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areas armed forces ASEAN Asia-Pacific Asian Australia ballistic missiles Beijing bilateral billion businesses campaign beyond boundary Cao Haili capability central chapter Chen Shui-bian Chen's China-Taiwan Chinese analysts Chinese military civilian comprehensive national power concept of decisive costs cross-strait December decisive campaign defense affairs defense concept defense policy deployed deployment deterrence disputes divestiture East Asian Economic News Service enterprises exports factories foreign Guangdong Hong Kong Ibid increase investment in China involved issue Japan Jiang Zemin July leaders leadership Lee Teng-hui Legislative Yuan mainland China major military conflict Ministry missile defense National Defense national missile defense national power November nuclear offensive Office operations options People's percent PLA's political preemptive presidential relations reportedly scenario South China Sea South Korea Southeast Asia Taipei Taiwan Independence Taiwan military Taiwan Strait Taiwan's defense Taiwanese theater missile threat trade United weapons White Paper Xinhua