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THE DEBATE ON FORECASTING
MACROECONOMIC MODELS AND POLITICAL DECISION MAKING
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active model-users actors ADAM agencies altemative bias Budget chapter computer models conceming conﬂict consensual perspective Danish modeling debate on economic deﬁcits Denmark difﬁcult discussion dominant Dutton & Kraemer econometric models economic forecasts economic models economic policy economists eighties England Economic Review evaluation experts federal Federal Reserve System ﬁeld ﬁgures ﬁnal ﬁnd ﬁrms ﬁrst ﬁscal forecasting and policy four perspectives framework govemment Greenberger important incomes policy increased inﬂuence institutions intemational interest interviews involved Joumal Kamlet Keynesian Kraemer and associates Kraemer and King literature macro macroeconometric models macroeconomic McNees model-based model-builder modeling activities models and politics monetarists Ofﬁce of Technology ofﬁcial organizational perspectives on models policy analysis policy modeling policy-making political decision political decision-making problems quantitative rational perspective recent reﬂected relevant role sciences seventies simulations speciﬁc statistical theoretical U.S. Congress University of Washington usefullness Washington D.C.