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Development of Elect1on
Elect1on Pred1ct1ons _
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1948 presidential election actual vote allocation analysis answers areas assumption average Based on education basis bias campaign candidates Census committee Crossley Crossley's Democratic Dewey Truman Wallace effect election forecasts election predictions electoral votes Elmira estimates factors final Gallup organization hypothesis indicated intended to vote inter interviewers issues leaning Literary Digest major polls measure method nonvoters obtained October October 29 party percent percentage points persons plan to vote plebiscite political behavior polling organizations population possible post-election survey pre-election polls pre-election survey preferences presidential election probability sample problem procedure proportion Public Opinion Published percentages questionnaire questions quota sample releases reported Republican secret ballot September shift staff studies systematic error Table Taft-Hartley Act techniques Thurmond tion Total state sample total vote Truman Wallace Raw turnout undecided respondents undecided voters voted for Truman voting behavior voting intentions Wallace Raw figures weeks West North Central