Toward a quantitative theory of the dynamics of conflict: ACDA/ST-127
Management Science Center, University of Pennsylvania, 1968 - Mathematics - 333 pages
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alternative asymmetric game attitudes and beliefs Axiom of Choice behavioral theory Bl B2 Chicken game Choice-Matching Theory choose CM PQ CONCLUSIONS condition conflict situations CONFR consider correct predictions defined Dilemma and Chicken Egypt equivalence class equivalent example experimental ft CM function Hence inescapable sanction intensity of beliefs Lemma maxima and minima measurement procedures metaequilibria metagame based metagame theory metagame tree metarational outcomes minmax move Nash equilibrium nuclear null hypothesis number of successful number of trials objective measures observed number obtained occur opponent option ordinal ordinal utility payoff matrix player player's choice plays correctly Policy-Matching Theory PQ CM prediction success preference assumptions preference orderings prime metagame Prisoner's Dilemma rational outcomes reject RESULTS Test Role-Reversal Theory shown in Figure Soviets strategy subgame subset successful predictions symmetric equilibrium Table teaching hypothesis Test of Theory two-person unfavorable variables