War with Iran: Political, Military, and Economic Consequences

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Rowman & Littlefield, 2013 - Political Science - 253 pages
War With Iran: Political, Military and Economic Consequences provides readers both a history of Iran's relationship with the West and an expert's estimation of what the political, human and financial costs of full-scale war with Iran might be. Authors Geoffrey Kemp and John Allen Gay of the Center for the National Interest utilize their years studying and informing America's foreign policy in the Middle East to bring to life the possible outcomes of an American military intervention in Iran. Such a decision would not only have catastrophic consequences on the Persian Gulf, but would also endanger the whole world's delicate economy by heightening instability in a fragile but resource-rich region. Written for anyone with an interest in the future of American foreign policy, War With Iran explores what every player has at stake in the current crisis by analyzing every tension adjacent to it; from America's staunch support of Israel to Iran's own dogged pursuit of advanced nuclear capabilities. Controversial, timely and thoroughly researched, this story stands as a preliminary caution against what would be a devastating meltdown of diplomacy, for which--if peace be the goal--there is always time.
 

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Contents

Introduction
1
Positions of Primary Actors
5
Choosing to Attack
29
How an Attack Might Work
43
Irans Retaliation
77
Evolving Crisis Challenging Exit
97
Regional Oil
103
Oil and War
109
Economic Consequences
135
Conclusionsthe Challenge of Getting Out the Costs of Staying Home
151
International Policies and Actions toward Iran
165
Military Section Appendixes
205
Economic Section Appendixes
229
Select Bibliography
243
Index
251
About the Authors
253

Preparing for Oil Disruptions
121

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About the author (2013)

John Allen Gay is assistant editor of The National Interest magazine.

Geoffrey Kemp is the Director of Regional Strategic Programs at the Center for the National Interest. He has had a long career in academic and research communities, and was Special Assistant to President Reagan and Senior Director for the Near East and South Asia on the National Security Council staff..

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