What Disaster Response Management Can Learn from Chaos Theory: Conference Proceedings

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Gus A. Koehler
DIANE Publishing, 1997 - 223 pages
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Contents: what disaster response management can learn from chaos theory; disaster in aisle 13 revisited; nonlinear analysis of disaster response data; disaster responder's perception of time; fractals & path dependent processes: a theoretical approach for characterizing emergency medical responses to major disasters; self-organization in disaster response: global strategies to support local action; & chaos theory & disaster response management: lessons for managing periods of extreme instability. Bibliography.

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Page 80 - Time has no divisions to mark its passage, there is never a thunder-storm or blare of trumpets to announce the beginning of a new month or year. Even when a new century begins it is only we mortals who ring bells and fire off pistols.
Page 28 - On a global or comprehensive basis, chaotic systems are unpredictable because of the cumulative effects of various kinds of feedback. But on an incremental or local basis, the effects of feedback from one time period into the next are perfectly clear.
Page 142 - Toward a Theory of Active Index," Journal of Visual Languages and Computing, vol. 5, pp. 101-118, 1995. Chang, SK, G. Costagliola, G Pacini, M. Tucci, G. Tortora, B. Yu, and JS Yu, "Visual Language System for User Interfaces,
Page 186 - Chaos widens the spectrum of options and forces the organization to seek new points of view. For an organization to renew itself, it must keep itself in a non-equilibrium state at all times.
Page 94 - The opinions and viewpoints expressed in this paper are the authors and should not be attributed to the California Research Bureau or the California State Library.
Page 79 - Medical care for the injured: The emergency medical response to the April 1992 Los Angeles civil disturbance.
Page 99 - Fractals are geometric objects that demonstrate self similarity across several size scales. For example, a cauliflower head contains branches or parts, which when removed and compared with the whole are very much the same, only smaller. These clusters can be broken up into even smaller clusters and they too will appear to be similar to the original cluster. This concept of self-similarity can be applied to a geographical area such as that occupied by a mountain range or river system. Pictures taken...
Page 97 - ... transition, the roles would reverse: the material would go from being a sea of fluid dotted with islands of solid, to being a continent of solid dotted with lakes of fluid. But right at the transition, the balance is perfect: the ordered structures fill a volume precisely equal to that of the chaotic fluid. Order and chaos intertwine in a complex, everchanging dance of submicroscopic arms and fractal filaments. The largest ordered structures propagate their fingers across the material for arbitrarily...
Page 41 - operational area" is an intermediate level of the state emergency services organization, consisting of a county and all political subdivisions within the county area. (Added by Stats. 1970, Ch. 1454.) 8560. (a) "Emergency plans" means those official and approved documents which describe the principles and methods to be applied in carrying out emergency operations or rendering mutual aid during emergencies. These plans include such elements as continuity...
Page 107 - ... to the expectation of each choice, that is, to a constant vector equal to p. Under our assumptions, a pre-determined unique structure — this time a long run fixed regional location pattern — must emerge and persist. What happens in the more general case where firms' locational choices depend in part upon the numbers of firms in each region at the time of choosing? Here increments to the regions are not independent of previous locational choices. The standard strong law no longer applies....

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