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CHAPTER llINDIVIDUAL FIRES
CHAPTER IIIDUAL FIRES STRATEGY N0 I
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additional fires analyses approximately assume assumption available forces behavior Calculate considered convex function correction term crews critical G2 value current fire decreases derived detected dispatcher example existing fire expected cost curves expected total cost exponential distribution FCFS strategy Figures 5.8 fire growth model forces between fires Forest Service form of strategy function of TD function of X future fire G2 and TD go to step home base illustrate increases individual-fire strategy initial attack forces minimizes minimum total cost multiple-fire strategy number of forces obtained optimal initial attack optimal reinforcement optimal value optimal X parameters random variable risk problem S(TD second fire Simpson's rule single fire slope special form suppression activities TD and G2 TD values total cost curve total expected cost transfer of forces U.S. Forest Service value of G2 values of TD wildland X forces zero